The New Iran War: Implications at Home and Abroad

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Robert Pape joins the 2026 cohort of Emerging Leaders to examine the tradeoffs inherent in deploying force and explore the limits of military power in shaping political outcomes.
Robert Pape speaking to a roundtable of Emerging Leaders. Play Video

Recent strikes involving Israel, the United States, and Iran seem to be escalating toward a wider regional war – and they also renew questions about the role of military force in American strategy. Air campaigns, covert operations, and emerging technologies like drones are increasingly central to modern conflict, but their ability to achieve political objectives remains contested. Can military pressure compel US adversaries like Iran to change course, or does it risk deepening escalation? At the same time, conflicts abroad reverberate at home. Heightened security concerns, potential retaliation, and domestic political pressures can blur the line between foreign policy and homeland security. How does reliance on hard power shape public trust, civil liberties, and democratic norms while signaling strength overseas? University of Chicago Professor of Political Science Robert Pape joined the 2026 cohort of Emerging Leaders for a roundtable examining the tradeoffs inherent in deploying force and exploring the limits of military power in shaping political outcomes.

About the Speakers
Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago
Robert Pape
Robert Pape is a professor of political science at the University of Chicago, specializing in national and international security affairs. He directs the Chicago Project on Security and Terrorism and focuses on air power, political violence, terrorism, and US national security policy.
Robert Pape
Executive Director, Global Leadership Programs
Headshot for Ariel Schwartz
Ariel Schwartz is the executive director of global leadership programs at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, where she heads the strategy and development of a suite of foreign policy and global affairs leadership programs.
Headshot for Ariel Schwartz
Emerging Leaders Program

For one year, 23 of Chicago's best and brightest from some of the city’s most prominent organizations engage in a rigorous program to further their knowledge of US foreign policy and global affairs and strengthen their leadership skills.