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Americans Sound the Alarm over Corruption and Democratic Erosion

Running Numbers by Lama El Baz
Susan Walsh / AP
A view of the US Capitol

At least half of all partisans see government corruption and weakening democracy as critical threats, but they are deeply divided on climate change and immigration.

Data from the 2025 Chicago Council Survey, fielded July 18-30, 2025, show that Americans see the internal concerns of government corruption and weakening democracy as the most critical threats to the United States. While at least half of all partisans rate these matters as critical, there are stark partisan differences on issues like climate change, immigration, and foreign adversaries.

Domestic Threats Are Top of Mind for Most Americans

Of all the possible threats to the United States, Americans rank government corruption and weakening democracy as the top two most critical threats to American interests, signaling anxieties over the health of the political system itself.

Three-quarters of Americans think US government corruption poses a critical threat to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years (73%), and an additional two-thirds express concern about weakening democracy in the United States (65%). The share of Americans concerned about the threat of weakening democracy has remained stable since last year (67%); this is the third year in a row that Americans are more concerned about threats within the United States than threats outside of the country.

Meanwhile, a smaller majority of Americans also say international terrorism (55%) poses a critical threat. Half characterize Iran’s nuclear program (51%), technological advancements in warfare (51%), and the development of China as a world power (50%) similarly. Climate change (49%), North Korean nuclear development (49%), and a global economic downturn (49%) are also viewed as critically threatening to about half of Americans.

The least threatening issues for Americans include the military power of Russia (44%), large numbers of immigrants and refugees coming into the United States (36%), and the lack of a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians (33%).

Republicans Look Outward . . .

Just a third of Americans overall view large numbers of immigrants and refugees coming into the United States as a critical threat to American interests in the next 10 years. But for supporters of the Republican Party, immigration remains the most critical threat to the United States (68%)—though tied with international terrorism (68%) and the development of China as a world power (66%).

Republican concerns over immigration have declined since last year, at which point 83 percent considered it a critical threat (the highest level recorded by the Chicago Council since 1998), and returned to levels recorded during US President Donald Trump’s first administration. This trend suggests Republicans are less threatened by immigrants when Trump is in office and taking measures to reduce immigration to the United States, as he has over the last several months.

Also high on Republicans’ radars are the nuclear ambitions of foreign adversaries like Iran (64%) and, to a lesser degree, North Korea (55%); yet just four in 10 Republicans consider Russia’s military power a critical threat (41%). Six in 10 Republicans also consider US government corruption a critical threat to the United States (61%). Half see technological advancements in warfare (52%) and weakening democracy in the United States (49%) as critical threats to American interests. The share of Republicans who are concerned about weakening democracy has declined significantly since last year (62%), perhaps because the GOP now has control of both the White House and Congress.

While the economy and inflation carried the greatest weight in their vote for a president in 2024, Republicans don’t seem too concerned about the prospect of a global economic downturn this year, as just a third view it as a critical threat (35%). Finally, Republicans view the lack of a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians (25%) and climate change (14%) as the least critically threatening issues to the United States.

. . . While Democrats Look Inward

Democrats, on the other hand, view weakening democracy in the United States (82%) and US government corruption (82%) as top threats. Democrats’ high level of concern over democratic erosion is not unique to Trump’s second term; last year, during the Biden administration, three-quarters of Democrats viewed weakening democracy in the United States a critical threat (75%). This suggests a broader and more enduring concern over democracy that is not contingent upon the party holding office.

A majority of Democrats also view climate change (77%) and a global economic downturn as a critical threat to the United States (61%), perhaps as a result of Trump’s reversal of climate policies and destabilizing international trade and tariff policies. Among the least critical to Democrats are threats to the United States coming from abroad, like international terrorism, high-tech warfare, foreign adversaries, and enduring conflict in the Middle East.

Conclusion

Overall, Americans are sounding the alarm over corruption and democratic erosion in the United States. But the data show that Democrats, in particular, are most concerned over the health of American political system. Republicans, on the other hand, tend to express greater concern for threats and competition from abroad. Independents tend to view threats to the United States through the same lens as Democrats, since they also consider government corruption and weakening democracy the most critical threats to American interests.

This analysis is primarily based on data from the 2025 Chicago Council Survey of the American public on foreign policy, a project of the Lester Crown Center on US Foreign Policy.  

The 2025 Chicago Council Survey was conducted July 18-30, 2025, by Ipsos using its large-scale nationwide online research panel (KnowledgePanel) in English and Spanish among a weighted national sample of 2,148 adults 18 or older living in all 50 US states and the District of Columbia. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is ±2.2 percentage points, including a design effect of 1.07.  

Partisan identification is based on how respondents answered a standard partisan self-identification question: “Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?” 

The 2025 Chicago Council Survey is made possible by the generous support of the Crown family and the Korea Foundation. 

The data for the total sample were weighted to adjust for gender by age, race/ethnicity, education, Census region, metropolitan status, and household income using demographic benchmarks from the 2024 March Supplement of the Current Population Survey (CPS). The specific categories used were:   

  • Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30–44, 45-59 and 60+) 
  • Race/Hispanic Ethnicity (White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other, Non-Hispanic, Hispanic, 2+ Races, Non-Hispanic) 
  • Education (Less than High School, High School, Some College, Bachelor or higher) 
  • Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West) 
  • Metropolitan status (Metro, non-Metro) 
  • Household Income (Under $25,000, $25,000-$49,999, $50,000-$74,999, $75,000-$99,999, $100,000-$149,999, $150,000+) 
Question 5

Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please select whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all.

Large numbers of immigrants and refugees coming into the U.S. (% critical threat)  
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
199855565851-2
200260586257-4
20045262495013
20065163464417
20085163464417
20105162415121
20124055304025
20143955214234
20154463294634
20164367274040
20173762213541
20183966203746
20194378194259
20203261132648
August 20214274223852
March 20223468122956
20223970183752
20234272183954
20245083274556
August 2024 (FP6)4578224256
20253668143254
Climate change (% critical threat) 
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
200839195840-39
201034165034-34
201232154433-29
201435125135-39
201540175838-41
201639185735-39
201746156747-52
201954237854-55
January 202051197751-58
202050217548-54
March 202154178056-63
August 202153188153-63
March 202248157351-58
202254208154-61
202352168251-66
202447177248-55
August 2024 (FP6)49207750-57
202549147750-63
International Terrorism (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
1998848883845
2002919094884
20047588717117
2006748576649
20086982676115
2010738172689
20126777656112
2014636661615
2015697568647
2016758374719
2017758273719
20186674616413
2019697667669
20205462515011
August 20216377615516
2022586059551
2023525950479
20245365514314
20255568524816
North Korea’s nuclear program (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
2015555853565
201660636452-1
2017758076704
201859616253-1
2019616762555
January 202052575841-1
202051535447-1
March 2021596561534
2022525755452
2023525753484
2024525953456
2025495549456
Iran’s nuclear program (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
20106876656511
20126475605815
2014586659517
20155770544916
2018525950489
20195770525118
January 20206173625111
2020495446488
March 20215767545413
20225365524713
20234956454611
20245362524510
20255164454519
A global economic downturn (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
202055536150-8
March 2022566357506
202255565753-1
2023545955504
202549356149-26
Lack of a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
2014262927222
202431273926-12
202533254131-16
Weakening democracy in the United States (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
2023697373650
202467627564-13
202565498263-33
The military power of Russia (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
199033323433-2
199432nananana
199834314129-10
200223202722-7
201741325039-18
201943445036-6
202041395131-12
March 202254546349-9
202346475141-4
202544415138-10
The development of China as a world power (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
199040374340-6
199457----
1998576357566
2002565855593
20043345293216
2006364036334
200840454839-3
2010434640426
2012404438396
2014414639387
2017374136355
2018394240352
20194254364018
January 2020384137374
20205567475320
March 20225775465529
20235871525319
20255066444422
US government corruption (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
202573618274-21
Technological advancements in warfare (% critical threat)
 OverallRepublicanDemocratIndependentR-D Gap
2025515252500
About the Author
Research Assistant, Public Opinion and US Foreign Policy
headshot of Lama El Baz
Lama El Baz joined the Chicago Council on Global Affairs in 2023 as a research assistant for the public opinion and US foreign policy team within the Lester Crown Center. She is passionate about public opinion research, data analytics, and the regional affairs of the Middle East and North Africa.
headshot of Lama El Baz
a speech bubble graphic that says Chicago Council Survey 50 years
About the Chicago Council Survey The Chicago Council Survey has tracked American public opinion on important US foreign policy issues since 1974. Now in its 50th year, it remains a valuable resource for shaping debates and informing key decisions.

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