Results for:
Ariane Tabatabai

How Could Iran Happen? An Autopsy.

In the News
Foreign Policy
Ariane Tabatabai

"The administration gutted the country’s institutions, and the United States is left trying to bargain for an outcome worse than the prewar status quo," Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai and Julia Curlee write.

President Donald Trump talking with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles as Secretary of State Marco Rubio listens during Operation Epicy Fury
Daniel Torok / The White House via AP
Geopolitics

The Next Defining Moment of the Iran War

Analysis
by Ariane Tabatabai

As the midterm elections approach, the Trump administration has realized its strategy isn’t working. Will economic measures succeed where military operations failed?

A woman waves an Iranian flag during a pro-government gathering at a square in Tehran, Iran, Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2026.
Vahid Salemi / AP
US Foreign Policy

Fighting While Talking: The Iran War Enters Its Bargaining Phase

In the News
Lawfare
Ariane Tabatabai

"A bargaining war turns on two quantities: what each side can threaten, and what each side can bear," Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai and Lawfare's Julia Curlee write.

A man waves an Iranian flag during a pro-government gathering at a square in Tehran
Vahid Salemi / AP
Geopolitics

Trump Rage Erupts Over Iran as Aides Leak Embarrassing Truth: He Lost

In the News
The New Republic
Ariane Tabatabai

"[President Trump is] essentially taking Oman and lashing out at them because of the fact that he is unable to close out this war," Council Vice President of Research on Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai shares on The Daily Blast podcast.

US President Donald Trump sits inside the Oval Office on July 24, 2026.
Rod Lamkey / AP
US Foreign Policy

Lawfare Daily: Ukraine, Iran, Taiwan, and the Short War Illusion

In the News
Lawfare
Ariane Tabatabai

Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai joins the podcast to discuss how the short war illusion is playing out today and how it could play out in a future conflict between China and Taiwan.

ships in the Taiwan Strait
US Navy via AP
Geopolitics

How America's Adversaries Have Stopped Fighting Alone

In the News
Time
Ariane Tabatabai

"Russian support for Iran in the war with the US was not a new development," Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai and John Drennan write. "Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea had been deepening and widening their cooperation."

Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un arrive at a military parade to commemorate the 80th anniversary of Japan's World War II surrender
Kremlin Pool Photo via AP
Geopolitics

Trump Says the US And Iran Have Agreed on a Deal

In the News
NPR
Ariane Tabatabai

"I think President Trump had overestimated how much he could achieve militarily. And I think Iran might now be overestimating what it can achieve diplomatically based on the cycle that we're in," Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai tells NPR.

A woman walks past a mural depicting a US aircraft carrier under missile attack
Vahid Salemi / AP
US Foreign Policy

What the Defense Industry Discussed at the NATO Summit

Analysis
by Coauthors

North American and European industry representatives met in Ankara to discuss how to enhance the alliance’s capabilities through increased production, cooperation, and joint procurement.

Participants walk near displays during the NATO Defense Industry Forum
Hussein Malla / AP
Geopolitics

President Trump Says Ceasefire with Iran is Over. What Happens Next?

In the News
NPR
Ariane Tabatabai

"Ultimately, I don't think that either the United States or Iran wants to return to March, when we had large-scale operations," says Council Vice President of Research for Security and Defense Ariane Tabatabai. "And so this, in my mind, is the new steady state for the foreseeable future."

President Donald Trump speaks during a media conference at the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey.
Emrah Gurel / AP
US Foreign Policy

What a Le Pen Presidency Could Mean for France, Europe, and NATO

Analysis
by Ariane Tabatabai

Far-right National Rally party leader Marine Le Pen has joined the French presidential race. Her victory would spark a complete departure from French foreign policy under Macron.

Far-right leader Marine Le Pen walks outside the courtroom during a short break in her appeals trial in Paris, on Jan. 20, 2026.
Michel Euler / AP
Global Politics