"Right now, I think Russia represents the bigger threat. China represents the bigger long-term competition," says Council President Ivo Daalder, discussing the 2022 Chicago Council Survey.
Russia's use of a nuclear weapon in Ukraine would be catastrophic, but not solely because of the physical damage the it would cause, Paul Poast writes.
Russians share their perspectives on why military disaster in Ukraine could have seismic consequences for their nation’s politics, economy, and society—with global implications.
"I think this is part of a process that North Korea is carrying out, to try to normalize their weapons programs over all," Karl Friedhoff tells BBC World News.
"If Russia’s struggles in Ukraine herald its broader decline, it’s unlikely an easy peace is ahead for many in Russia’s neighborhood," Elizabeth Shackelford writes.
"It's a clear sign that he's feeling that his back is up against a wall," Elizabeth Shackelford says of Russian President Vladimir Putin's partial military mobilization.
Jair Bolsonaro "has emboldened his boosters to distrust the polls and decry the electoral system, while making sure they’re packing heat," writes Robert Muggah.