Trump's Shifting Objectives in Iran and How the War Could End

Analysis
by Ariane Tabatabai

With distrust deepening and the Iranian regime still in place, can the United States and Iran reach a deal?

US Vice President JD Vance walks with Pakistani officials after arriving for talks with Iranian negotiators
Jacquelyn Martin / AP
US Foreign Policy

The Iran War is Dividing America Along Party Lines

BLOG
Running Numbers by Coauthors

Recent polls show Democrats and Independents oppose US policy toward the conflict, while Republicans back the Trump administration's approach.

Demonstrators carry signs and wave the Iranian flag as they rally outside the White House,
Jose Luis Magana / AP
Public Opinion

Is China Quietly Winning the Iran War?

Podcast
Deep Dish on Global Affairs Podcast

The Iran war is spreading far beyond the Middle East. ECFR’s James Crabtree explores what that means for China, India, and the implications for the Indo-Pacific region.

China Congress
Vincent Thian / AP
Defense and Security

Trump Battling The Perception That He Has Failed In His War with Iran

In the News
Times News
Leslie Vinjamuri

"Everybody's incentive is for this to end," Council President & CEO Leslie Vinjamuri tells Times News. "But clearly both Iran and the leadership of the United States, President Trump, want to be able to frame this as a win—and they're struggling to see how they can do that right now."

Leslie Vinjamuri speaks with Times News over video call. US Foreign Policy

What a US Attack on Iran’s Nuclear Power Plant Would Mean for the Region

In the News
NBC 5 Chicago
Rachel Bronson

"Bushehr—the nuclear power plant—is closer to Doha and Dubai than it is to Tehran," says Council Lester Crown Senior Nonresident Fellow Rachel Bronson. "Our allies would be at risk . . . should there be a leak."

Rachel Bronson appears on NBC 5 Chicago US Foreign Policy

Are We in a World War?

In the News
NBC 5 Chicago
Paul Poast

Council Senior Nonresident Fellow Paul Poast argues that multi-military involvement in the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East has reached the threshold of a world war—though not "at the level of World War I or World War II."

Paul Poast speaks via a video call Defense and Security

Who Should Govern the Strait of Hormuz? 

Analysis
by Leslie Vinjamuri

A European-led international mission and the Gulf Cooperation Council are trying to determine who will guarantee openness and stability in the strait once the Iran war ends—and how.

German chancellor Friedrich Merz, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni arrive at the Elysee Palace for a conference on the initiative for maritime navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, in Paris, Friday April 17, 2026
Jeanne Accorsini / Pool Photo via AP
Global Politics

Is International Law Built for Today's Wars?

Podcast
Deep Dish on Global Affairs Podcast

Is there any prospect for accountability when major powers ignore international law? Former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and legal expert Louise Arbour answers.

UN Security Council
Heather Khalifa /AP
Global Politics

The Shadow of the Military in Modern South Asia

In the News
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Paul Staniland

"Militaries are taking on a renewed, often decisive, role in shaping political outcomes," Council Senior Nonresident Fellow Paul Staniland writes.

Bangladeshi military force soldiers patrol a street during a nationwide curfew
Rajib Dhar / AP
Defense and Security

How the Iran War Confirmed, Contradicted, and Complicated US Policy

In the News
Council on Foreign Relations
Ariane Tabatabai

"Much of what has occurred over the last month was forecasted in scenarios that have been tested and re-tested for decades," Council Vice President of Research and Senior Fellow Ariane Tabatabai and Elisa Ewers write.

A US flag is seen through the flag of Iran
Ryan Murphy / AP
US Foreign Policy