Could the Midterms Change Trump's Foreign Policy?

Journalist Steve Clemons predicts Democrats could benefit from a backlash to the war in Iran. But he warns that a Democratic Congress could lead to “several waves of constitutional crises.” What would that mean for Trump's foreign policy?
US Capitol Play Podcast
Rahmat Gul / AP

About The Episode

Could the war in Iran help Democrats take back Congress? The National Interest's editor-at-large Steve Clemons predicts they'll do “very well despite themselves.” He joins Deep Dish host Leslie Vinjamuri to discuss whether a Democratic victory could constrain President Trump, why it could lead to constitutional crises, and what the results could mean for America's role in the world.

Key Takeaways

  • The consequences of US foreign policy are  being felt at home and abroad. The midterms could reshape congressional oversight and send an important signal to allies, but restoring domestic confidence and international trust will require more than an electoral change.
  • Clemons argues that by contributing to higher energy costs and economic uncertainty, the war with Iran has intensified voter frustration over affordability, potentially hurting Republicans in the midterms.
  • Voters may be reacting to dissatisfaction with the administration rather than embracing a unified Democratic agenda. The party still faces divisions between moderates and progressives.
  • If Democrats gain control of either chamber, they could expand investigations and oversight of the administration. However, enforcement and the president’s broad executive authority, especially in foreign affairs, could limit the impact.
  • President Trump's approach has encouraged European and Asian partners to reduce their dependence on Washington. Clemons believes economic and security ties will endure, but rebuilding confidence will take time.

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About the Experts
Editor-at-Large, The National Interest
Steve Clemons HS
Steven Clemons is an Editor-at-Large at The National Interest and the founding editor of Semafor. Steve is the former Editor-at-Large of The Hill. He was previously Washington Editor-at-Large of The Atlantic and served in senior editorial roles at National Journal and Quartz. He is also the proprietor of the popular political blog The Washington Note and host of The Bottom Line on Al Jazeera English.
Steve Clemons HS
President & Chief Executive Officer, Chicago Council on Global Affairs
Leslie Vinjamuri headshot
Dr. Leslie Vinjamuri joined the Council in 2025 as the president and chief executive officer, after previously serving as director of the US and the Americas program at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, known as Chatham House, in London. She is Professor of Practice in International Studies and Diplomacy at SOAS University of London.
Leslie Vinjamuri headshot

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