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Saeid Golkar

Why Iran’s Regime Didn’t Collapse

In the News
Foreign Policy
Saeid Golkar

"The Islamic Republic was built to withstand sustained unrest," Senior Nonresident Fellow Saeid Golkar writes in Foreign Policy.

The Iranian flag waves in front of the building of the International Atomic Energy Agency, in Vienna, Austria on December 17, 2021.
Michael Gruber / AP
Global Politics

Why a US Strike on Iran Would Not Lead to War

Analysis
by Saeid Golkar

With the death toll rising in Iran amid a crackdown on protests, US President Donald Trump is weighing a strike against the nation. Iran’s capacity to respond to such an action is far more limited than its leaders suggest.

A man drives his motorbike past a huge banner showing hands firmly holding Iranian flags as a sign of patriotism, as one of them flashes the victory sign, in Tehran, Iran, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026.
Vahid Salemi / AP
Global Politics

What’s New About This Wave of Protests in Iran

In the News
Foreign Policy
Saeid Golkar

"When combined with economic desperation, political exhaustion appears to be pushing parts of society toward alternative visions of order and stability," Council Nonresident Senior Fellow Saeid Golkar writes with Jason M. Brodsky.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei passes in front of Iranian flags
Vahid Salemi / AP
Global Politics

Why Don't the Iranian People Rise Up?

In the News
Foreign Policy
Saeid Golkar

"The regime has invested in creating an extensive suppressive apparatus across Iran, at every level of society," Saeid Golkar and Kasra Aarabi write.

Iranians walk under a mural of the late Iranian revolutionary founder Ayatollah Khomeini
Vahid Salemi / AP
Global Politics

Is Iran's Regime About to Go the Way of Syria's?

In the News
Foreign Policy
Saeid Golkar

A series of perceived betrayals has shaken the clerical establishment’s “hard base,” Saeid Golkar and Kasra Aarabi write.

A huge Iranian flag is carried under the Azadi monument tower during the annual rally commemorating Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran
Vahid Salemi / AP
Global Politics

The US Must Strike Iran, and Take out Its Terrorist Commanders

In the News
The Telegraph
Saeid Golkar

"We will only have peace when America uses force to defend its interests," Saeid Golkar and Kasra Aarabi write.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard members stand in front of Shahab-3 missile
AP Photos
US Foreign Policy

The Real Motivation behind Iran's Deal with Saudi Arabia

In the News
Foreign Policy
Saeid Golkar

“The agreement is about far more than just normalizing ties with Riyadh,” argue Nonresident Senior Fellow Saeid Golkar and Kasra Aarabi.

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian and Saudi Arabia's Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud and Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang shake hands during a meeting in Beijing, China
Reuters
Global Politics

Iran Executions Quash Protests, Push Dissent Underground

In the News
Reuters
Saeid Golkar

Despite getting people off the streets, Iran's hard crackdown on protesters "has created a massive resentment among Iranians."

Protestor Majid Kazemi, alleged to have killed members of security forces during nationwide protests, appears in a courtroom on January 9, 2023.
Reuters
Global Politics

Protests in Iran's Republic of Fearlessness

In the News
Carnegie Middle East Center
Saeid Golkar

Nonresident Senior Fellow Saeid Golkar argues that, regardless of the end outcome, the protests in Iran have changed the country dramatically.

Protestors in Melbourne gather in solidarity with protestors in Iran.
Reuters
Global Politics

Iran Protests: Supreme Leader Finally Speaks

In the News
BBC World Service
Saeid Golkar

"I don't think he's trying to apologize or recognize any fault of the Islamic Republic... if he goes back one step, the revolution will come two steps forward."

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei attending a graduation ceremony at the police academy in Tehran, Iran on October 3, 2022
Reuters
Global Politics